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Journal for Labour Market Research

Table 12 Average partial effects on the probability to receive welfare benefits in t (bivariate results)

From: Welfare receipt misreporting in survey data and its consequences for state dependence estimates: new insights from linked administrative and survey data

 

PASS

IEB

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

APE

APE

APE

APE

APE

APE

APE

APE

Benefit receipt in t−1

0.563***

(0.017)

0.521***

(0.017)

0.381***

(0.058)

0.389***

(0.033)

0.582***

(0.018)

0.556***

(0.018)

0.421***

(0.066)

0.419***

(0.034)

Benefit receipt in t0

0.095***

(0.008)

0.068***

(0.007)

0.066***

(0.016)

0.060***

(0.009)

0.115***

(0.010)

0.087***

(0.009)

0.056***

(0.016)

0.054***

(0.007)

Age (in years)

0.001***

(0.000)

0.001***

(0.000)

0.000

(0.000)

0.000

(0.000)

0.001**

(0.000)

0.001***

(0.000)

0.000

(0.000)

0.000

(0.000)

Male

0.003

(0.004)

0.003

(0.004)

− 0.003

(0.003)

0.000

(0.003)

0.006

(0.004)

0.006

(0.004)

0.000

(0.003)

0.000

(0.003)

Intermediate education

− 0.040***

(0.005)

− 0.039***

(0.005)

− 0.017***

(0.004)

− 0.015***

(0.003)

− 0.031***

(0.004)

− 0.031***

(0.004)

− 0.014***

(0.004)

− 0.008*

(0.003)

High education

− 0.069***

(0.007)

− 0.066***

(0.007)

− 0.025***

(0.005)

− 0.029***

(0.004)

− 0.054***

(0.007)

− 0.053***

(0.007)

− 0.023***

(0.005)

− 0.023***

(0.004)

Health restriction

0.016*

(0.008)

0.017*

(0.008)

0.006

(0.006)

0.007

(0.006)

0.017*

(0.007)

0.018*

(0.007)

0.005

(0.006)

0.005

(0.005)

Migration Background

0.014**

(0.005)

0.010*

(0.005)

0.007

(0.004)

0.011**

(0.004)

0.008

(0.005)

0.006

(0.005)

0.005

(0.004)

0.008*

(0.004)

Partner in same HH

− 0.058***

(0.015)

− 0.058***

(0.015)

− 0.013

(0.010)

− 0.022*

(0.009)

− 0.071***

(0.016)

− 0.071***

(0.015)

− 0.022

(0.013)

− 0.040**

(0.015)

Child < 2 years old

0.040**

(0.013)

0.037**

(0.013)

0.006

(0.011)

0.034*

(0.016)

0.030*

(0.012)

0.028*

(0.012)

0.004

(0.011)

0.026

(0.015)

Child 2–3 years old

0.038**

(0.012)

0.039**

(0.012)

0.027*

(0.012)

0.023*

(0.011)

0.025*

(0.011)

0.025*

(0.011)

0.029*

(0.014)

0.010

(0.008)

Child 4–6 years old

0.021*

(0.010)

0.019

(0.010)

0.004

(0.008)

0.020

(0.012)

0.020*

(0.009)

0.018

(0.010)

0.013

(0.010)

0.007

(0.006)

Child 7–16 years old

0.034***

(0.009)

0.034***

(0.009)

− 0.002

(0.007)

0.007

(0.007)

0.024*

(0.010)

0.024*

(0.010)

0.013

(0.008)

− 0.003

(0.007)

Regional unemployment rate

0.006***

(0.002)

0.006**

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

0.000

(0.001)

0.004*

(0.002)

0.004*

(0.002)

0.000

(0.002)

0.000

(0.001)

Eastern Germany

0.051

(0.055)

0.051

(0.055)

− 0.016

(0.009)

0.010

(0.015)

0.059

(0.054)

0.058

(0.053)

− 0.016

(0.010)

0.001

(0.019)

M: Health restriction

0.050***

(0.009)

0.048***

(0.009)

0.017*

(0.007)

0.012*

(0.006)

0.036***

(0.009)

0.034***

(0.009)

0.015*

(0.007)

0.011*

(0.005)

M: Partner in same HH

− 0.013

(0.014)

− 0.005

(0.014)

− 0.008

(0.009)

− 0.005

(0.007)

0.008

(0.013)

0.012

(0.014)

− 0.003

(0.010)

0.003

(0.008)

M: Child < 2 years old

0.006

(0.022)

0.010

(0.022)

0.005

(0.017)

− 0.027

(0.015)

− 0.003

(0.022)

0.002

(0.022)

− 0.004

(0.019)

− 0.011

(0.014)

M: Child 2–3 years old

0.010

(0.019)

0.007

(0.019)

− 0.025

(0.013)

− 0.009

(0.014)

0.003

(0.018)

0.003

(0.018)

− 0.021

(0.015)

− 0.011

(0.015)

M: Child 4–6 years old

− 0.014

(0.014)

− 0.009

(0.014)

0.013

(0.010)

− 0.007

(0.008)

− 0.004

(0.013)

0.000

(0.013)

0.007

(0.011)

0.017

(0.011)

M: Child 7–16 years old

− 0.017

(0.010)

− 0.016

(0.010)

− 0.002

(0.008)

− 0.005

(0.007)

− 0.012

(0.010)

− 0.011

(0.011)

− 0.011

(0.007)

0.009

(0.008)

M: Regional unemployment rate

0.001

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

0.002

(0.002)

0.002*

(0.001)

0.001

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

0.003

(0.002)

0.003*

(0.001)

M: Eastern Germany

− 0.048

(0.052)

− 0.053

(0.052)

0.014

(0.010)

− 0.004

(0.014)

− 0.057

(0.049)

− 0.057

(0.049)

0.015

(0.011)

0.001

(0.019)

Population sample dummy

 

− 0.072***

(0.007)

   

− 0.050***

(0.006)

  

N

21,999

21,999

9680

21,999

21,999

21,999

9680

21,999

  1. (1) Full sample, unweighted, (2) full sample, unweighted with population sample dummy (3) population sample only, unweighted (4) full sample, weighted; M = individual average of covariate, S.E.: Standard errors clustered at the individual level in parantheses. ***/**/* denote statistical significance at the 0.001, 0.01, 0.05 levels, respectively. Source: PASS_0614_v1
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