Year of entry (ref: 1998–2002)
|
2003–2005
|
−0.023
|
−5.7
|
−0.030
|
−5.5
|
2006–2009
|
−0.089
|
−29.8
|
−0.088
|
−20.1
|
Skill level (ref: vocational training with at most an intermediate degree)
|
Missing information on educational level
|
−0.205
|
−11.1
|
−0.174
|
−11.3
|
No vocational training with at most an intermediate degree
|
−0.220
|
−38.4
|
−0.217
|
−23.3
|
High school/equivalent; with or without vocational training
|
0.096
|
17.7
|
0.148
|
22.0
|
University/technical/professional college degree
|
0.495
|
52.6
|
0.413
|
44.2
|
Potential experience
b
|
3.582
|
27.1
|
0.044
|
0.3
|
Potential experience squared
b
|
−0.063
|
−23.2
|
0.006
|
1.8
|
Preceding state (ref: job-to-job)
|
First spell
|
0.024
|
5.7
|
−0.014
|
−2.4
|
Unemployed
|
−0.268
|
−48.4
|
−0.228
|
−37.6
|
Job followed by gap
|
−0.179
|
−34.4
|
−0.190
|
−31.9
|
Unemployment followed by gap
|
−0.179
|
−29.9
|
−0.198
|
−28.3
|
Local labour demand (district level)
|
Unemployment rate
|
−0.002
|
−2.1
|
0.003
|
2.2
|
GDP growth
|
0.035
|
0.8
|
0.067
|
0.8
|
Federal state (ref: North Rhine-Westphalia)
|
Schleswig Holstein, Hamburg
|
−0.023
|
−1.4
|
0.021
|
0.7
|
Lower Saxony, Bremen
|
−0.048
|
−6.7
|
−0.063
|
−3.2
|
Hesse
|
0.011
|
0.6
|
0.045
|
1.6
|
Rhineland Palatinate, Saarland
|
−0.049
|
−4.4
|
−0.048
|
−2.8
|
Baden-Württemberg
|
0.017
|
1.6
|
0.017
|
1.0
|
Bavaria
|
0.008
|
0.5
|
0.038
|
1.1
|
Firm size (ref: < 20 employees)
|
20–49
|
0.128
|
34.1
|
0.176
|
31.3
|
50–249
|
0.181
|
37.1
|
0.268
|
49.2
|
250–999
|
0.270
|
45.8
|
0.395
|
50.1
|
1000 and more
|
0.363
|
37.2
|
0.511
|
31.4
|
Industry (ref: business services)
|
Agriculture, mining
|
−0.221
|
−13.1
|
−0.174
|
−7.8
|
Energy, traffic and information
|
−0.123
|
−8.8
|
−0.010
|
−0.4
|
Manufacturing
|
0.007
|
0.8
|
−0.035
|
−2.8
|
Construction
|
0.005
|
0.5
|
−0.173
|
−8.0
|
Trade and retail
|
−0.035
|
−4.3
|
−0.051
|
−3.7
|
Personal and domestic services
|
−0.359
|
−32.0
|
−0.247
|
−21.3
|
Social and public services
|
−0.164
|
−13.3
|
−0.006
|
−0.3
|
Temporary work agency
|
−0.543
|
−43.2
|
−0.405
|
−31.5
|
Foreigner
|
−0.153
|
−29.4
|
−0.080
|
−9.4
|
Constant
|
4.017
|
270.0
|
3.941
|
209.9
|
Log (sigma)
|
−0.863
|
−65.6
|
−0.699
|
0.7
|
Wald chi
2
(33)
|
39.685
|
–
|
38.019
|
–
|
Log pseudolikelihood
|
−105.077
|
–
|
−72.515
|
–
|
Number of obs.
|
178,065
|
–
|
99,012
|
–
|
Censored obs.
|
17,278
|
–
|
2827
|
–
|