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Tab. 4 Graduates’ field of study and unemployment risk over time (linear probability model). (German Microcensus, Scientific-Use-Files 1980–2008)

From: The association between graduates’ field of study and occupational attainment in West Germany, 1980–2008Der Zusammenhang zwischen Studienfach und beruflichem Erfolg von Hochschulabsolventen in Westdeutschland

Men (N = 30,603)

1980

1985–1987

1989–1993

1995/1996

2000

2004–2005

2006–2008

Ref. Science/Mathematics

       

Medicine/Pharmacy

−0.00

−0.01

−0.03*

−0.01

−0.00

0.01

0.00

 

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.01)

Teaching

0.01

0.01

0.00

0.00

−0.00

−0.01

−0.01

 

(0.01)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.03)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

Law

0.01

0.01

−0.03

−0.01

0.02

0.01

−0.00

 

(0.01)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

Engineering/Agronomics

−0.00

0.00

−0.02

−0.01

−0.00

0.02

0.00

 

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

Business/Management

0.01

−0.02

−0.04**

−0.01

−0.02

−0.01

−0.01

 

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

Humanities/Social sciences/Arts

0.00

0.05*

0.01

0.00

−0.00

0.03

0.02

 

(0.01)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

(0.02)

Social services/Education

0.03

0.03

0.00

−0.05*

0.00

0.01

−0.02

 

(0.02)

(0.03)

(0.03)

(0.02)

(0.03)

(0.03)

(0.02)

Women (N = 18,762)

1980

1985–1987

1989–1991

1995/1996

2000

2004–2005

2006–2008

Ref. Science/Mathematics

       

Medicine/Pharmacy

−0.01

−0.02

−0.00

−0.05

0.06

0.00

0.00

 

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

Teaching

0.00

−0.05

0.01

−0.06

−0.01

−0.04

−0.02

 

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

Law

0.04

−0.08

−0.06

−0.06

−0.01

−0.02

−0.04

 

(0.08)

(0.09)

(0.08)

(0.08)

(0.08)

(0.08)

(0.08)

Engineering/Agronomics

−0.05

−0.00

0.05

0.01

0.07

0.05

0.06

 

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

Business/Management

−0.01

−0.04

−0.01

−0.07

0.01

−0.02

−0.00

 

(0.05)

(0.06)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

Humanities/Social sciences/Arts

−0.01

−0.05

0.02

−0.02

0.02

0.03

0.03

 

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.05)

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.04)

Social services/Education

−0.03

0.04

0.03

0.01

0.05

0.03

0.04

 

(0.04)

(0.05)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

(0.04)

  1. LPM includes main effects of nationality, HE institution and interaction terms with period; robust standard errors in parentheses; * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001