Employment trajectories in Germany: do firm characteristics and regional disparities matter?

Journal for Labour Market Research

Table 8 Estimation results for intercept-only models (three-level logistic random intercept models without explanatory variables)

Independent variables	1999					2002
	Exit from job	Interfirm career path			Unemployment	Exit from job	Interfirm career path			Unemployment
	Exit from job	Upward mobility	Lateral mobility	Downward mobility	Unemployment	Exit from job	Upward mobility	Lateral mobility	Downward mobility	Unemployment
Residual variance (persons)	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290	3.290
Residual variance (firms)	1.036	1.665	2.291	1.433	0.787	1.534	2.209	3.005	1.751	1.946
Residual variance (regions)	0.051	0.033	0.052	0.042	0.046	0.053	0.045	0.062	0.049	0.053
Intrafirm correlation (ρ(firm, region))	0.248	0.340	0.416	0.310	0.202	0.325	0.407	0.482	0.354	0.378
Intraregion correlation (ρ(region))	0.011	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.011	0.011	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010
Episodes (persons)	370,779	370,779	370,779	370,779	370,779	363,339	363,339	363,339	363,339	363,339
Episodes (firms)	1,836	1,836	1,836	1,836	1,836	2,140	2,140	2,140	2,140	2,140
Episodes (regions)	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97

Notes: The dependent variables are coded as dummy variables. In the columns 1 and 6 the value 1 represents a job exit; the value 0 denotes, when the employee remains in the firm. In the columns 2–5 and 7–10 the value 1 indicates one of the destination states, respectively, whereas the value 0 subsumes all of the other employment states. In each regression the whole sample is used.
Source: Linked Employer–Employee Data (LIAB); own calculations