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Table 5 Determinants of the routes off social benefits receipt through job or training entry of 18- to 24-year-old benefits recipients of 2005 (hazard ratios \(\exp\mathrm{exp}\,(\ss)\))

From: Young beneficiaries’ routes off benefits through labour market integration: the case of GermanyDie Wege junger Erwachsener aus dem Arbeitslosengeld-II-Bezug durch eine Arbeitsmarktintegration

Covariates

Model

Exit via labour market integration (A)

Partial exit via labour market integration (B)

Hr

Sig.

S.E.

Hr

Sig.

S.E.

Equivalent household income (/100). periodic effects

Income situation of Dec 04 in Jan 05–Oct 05

0.988

 

0.008

0.995

 

0.006

Income situation of Nov 05 in Nov 05–Dec 06

1.012

 

0.013

1.013

 

0.010

Income situation of Nov 05 in 2007

1.000

 

0.017

1.009

 

0.012

Social assistance receipt in 2004 (rf=no)

0.837

 

0.313

1.206

 

0.197

Unemployment assistance receipt before 2005 (rf=no)

0.613

 

0.360

0.699

 

0.257

Previous episodes in social benefits receipt

0.767

 

0.177

1.200

 

0.115

Highest qualification of parents (rf=lower secondary school certificate or higher)

No information

1.063

 

0.256

1.098

 

0.180

No school certificate

0.514

+

0.402

0.988

 

0.237

Highest labour market status of parents, at respondent’s age of 15 (rf=qualified employment)

No information

0.627

 

0.276

0.888

 

0.179

Low-qualified employment

0.846

 

0.217

0.858

 

0.157

Unemployed, not employed

1.073

 

0.248

0.861

 

0.176

Schooling (rf=no/lower secondary school certificate)

Secondary school certificate

1.158

 

0.209

0.932

 

0.146

University entrance diploma

1.784

*

0.268

1.140

 

0.201

Vocational degree (rf=no degree)

2.288

***

0.212

1.482

**

0.139

Employment career

Previous employment episodes

1.610

***

0.080

1.304

***

0.048

(Previous employment episodes)2

0.982

***

0.005

0.992

*

0.003

Previous unemployment episodes

0.711

*

0.137

0.949

 

0.099

(Previous unemployment episodes)2

1.032

*

0.016

1.001

 

0.012

Employment status. one month lag. (ref: employed)

Short-term unemployed. ≤12 months

2.435

**

0.265

2.790

***

0.214

Long-term unemployed. 13 months and more

1.864

+

0.350

4.258

***

0.257

In education

0.440

*

0.375

1.095

 

0.262

On parental leave

1.020

 

0.528

1.397

 

0.329

Other activities

0.977

 

0.388

2.265

**

0.284

Previous partial exit (rf=none)

0.871

 

0.196

1.861

***

0.138

Household composition (rf=single)

With partner, no children

0.910

 

0.277

0.983

 

0.208

Single parent

0.306

*

0.472

1.021

 

0.260

With partner and children

0.425

**

0.326

1.252

 

0.200

With parents

1.333

 

0.214

0.931

 

0.164

Socio demographics

Female (rf=male)

0.749

 

0.177

1.028

 

0.127

Background of migration (rf=no)

0.741

 

0.192

0.882

 

0.133

Controls

Age

1.088

 

0.061

0.914

*

0.043

Regional youth unemployment rate

0.941

*

0.026

0.994

 

0.018

Events

197

327

Persons/episodes/person months

674/1061 /15959

Log likelihood

−2401.4207

Cov (Corr)

0.138(0.999)

  1. Models controlled for piecewise constant periodic effects and seasonal effects but not reported
  2. Source: LSS 05, register data; author’s calculations
  3. Rf = reference category; Hr = hazard ratio; sig. = Significance; S.E.=standard error
  4. Significance: +p≤0.1; * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001.