From: Lockdown stringency and employment formality: evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic in South Africa
Sample | (1) | (2) | (3) | (1)–(3) | (2)–(3) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cross-sectional | Balanced panel | Difference | |||
Period | 2019Q1 | 2020Q1 | 2020Q1 | ||
Observations | 42,024 | 41,827 | 24,475 | ||
Demographics | |||||
Age (years) | 34.890 | 35.040 | 35.328 | − 0.437*** | − 0.287*** |
(0.070) | (0.070) | (0.086) | (0.110) | (0.054) | |
Female | 0.505 | 0.505 | 0.515 | − 0.010*** | − 0.011*** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
African/Black | 0.806 | 0.808 | 0.829 | − 0.023*** | − 0.020*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.004) | |
Urban | 0.677 | 0.680 | 0.658 | 0.019** | 0.022*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.005) | |
Married | 0.355 | 0.350 | 0.353 | 0.001 | − 0.004 |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.003) | |
Primary education or less | 0.143 | 0.134 | 0.127 | 0.016*** | 0.007*** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | |
Incomplete secondary education | 0.435 | 0.433 | 0.433 | 0.002 | 0.000 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Complete secondary education | 0.297 | 0.306 | 0.308 | − 0.011** | − 0.001 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Tertiary education | 0.125 | 0.127 | 0.132 | − 0.007* | − 0.005*** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Occupation and sector | |||||
Legislators and managers | 0.076 | 0.075 | 0.076 | 0.000 | − 0.002 |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Professionals | 0.047 | 0.050 | 0.053 | − 0.005* | − 0.003** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.001) | |
Technical and associate professionals | 0.080 | 0.077 | 0.080 | 0.000 | − 0.004** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | |
Clerks | 0.104 | 0.103 | 0.105 | − 0.001 | − 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Service and shop workers | 0.163 | 0.167 | 0.171 | − 0.008* | − 0.004* |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Skilled agricultural and fishery workers | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.004 | − 0.001** | 0.000 |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.000) | |
Craft and related trades workers | 0.127 | 0.127 | 0.125 | 0.002 | 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Plant and machine operators | 0.082 | 0.081 | 0.085 | − 0.003 | − 0.004*** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | |
Elementary workers | 0.249 | 0.249 | 0.235 | 0.014*** | 0.015*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.003) | |
Domestic workers | 0.069 | 0.067 | 0.065 | 0.003 | 0.002 |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.001) | |
Primary sector | 0.080 | 0.079 | 0.067 | 0.012*** | 0.011*** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Secondary sector | 0.212 | 0.210 | 0.213 | 0.000 | − 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Tertiary sector | 0.708 | 0.711 | 0.720 | − 0.012** | − 0.009*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.003) | |
Province | |||||
Western Cape | 0.121 | 0.121 | 0.108 | 0.013** | 0.013*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.004) | |
Eastern Cape | 0.112 | 0.111 | 0.107 | 0.005 | 0.004 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.003) | |
Northern Cape | 0.021 | 0.021 | 0.016 | 0.005*** | 0.005*** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
Free State | 0.050 | 0.049 | 0.048 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
(0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.002) | |
KwaZulu − Natal | 0.185 | 0.185 | 0.212 | − 0.027*** | − 0.027*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.004) | |
North West | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.062 | 0.005 | 0.005** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Gauteng | 0.269 | 0.270 | 0.253 | 0.016** | 0.017*** |
(0.005) | (0.004) | (0.006) | (0.007) | (0.004) | |
Mpumalanga | 0.077 | 0.077 | 0.087 | − 0.011*** | − 0.011*** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
Limpopo | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.106 | − 0.008* | − 0.008*** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.003) | |
Outcomes | |||||
Employed | 0.426 | 0.421 | 0.422 | 0.004 | − 0.001 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Employed in the formal sector | 0.293 | 0.290 | 0.296 | − 0.003 | − 0.006** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | |
Employed in the informal sector | 0.113 | 0.112 | 0.112 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.001) |