Table 9 Illinois vector error-correction model
From: The impact of the coronavirus on African American unemployment: lessons from history
|  | African American Unemployment ΔUER_AAt | Whites Unemployment ΔUER_Wt | Latin Unemployment ΔUER_Lt | GDP ΔGDP_Lt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
ce1t-1 | − 1.12** (.521) | .029 (.270) | − .675 (.433) | − 3989 (2941) |
ce2t-1 | 3.20** (1.41) | − .000 (.000) | − .000** (.000) | − .093 (.079) |
ΔUER_AAt-1 | .117 (.337) | .027 (.175) | .471 (.280) | 228 (1903) |
ΔUER_AAt-2 | − .04 (.252) | .126 (.131) | .398 (.209) | − 363 (1420) |
ΔUER_Wt-1 | − 2.34 (1.255) | − .320 (.650) | − 1.60 (1.042) | − 2913 (7083) |
ΔUER_Wt-2 | − .453 (1.11) | − .066 (.577) | − .953 (.924) | − 5102 (6280) |
ΔUER_Lt-1 | 1.085** (.430) | .371 (.223) | .545 (.357) | 649 (2428) |
ΔUER_Lt-2 | .173 (.359) | 0.050 (.186) | .160 (.298) | 649 (2428) |
ΔGDP_Lt-1 | − .000 (.000) | − .000 (.000) | − .000 (.000) | .407 (.286) |
ΔGDP_Lt-2 | − .000 .000 | .000 (0.000) | .000 (.000) | − .068 (.297) |
Constant | − .954 (.959) | .502 (.497) | .453 (.796) | .002 (5413) |
Normality Test Jarque–Bera \({X}^{2}\) (p-value) | .719 (.697) | .960 (.619) | 1.280 (.527) | 1.617 (.446) |
Autocorrelation \({X}^{2}\) (p-value) | Lag(1) 9.3375 (.899) Lag(2) 13.576 (.630) | |||