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Table 15 Average partial effects of all explanatory variables on the probability to be in a given state in t (PASS including individuals without consent to data linkage or not found in administrative data)

From: Welfare receipt misreporting in survey data and its consequences for state dependence estimates: new insights from linked administrative and survey data

 

Benefit receipt

Benefit receipt and employment

Inactivity

Employment

APE

S.E.

APE

S.E.

APE

S.E.

APE

S.E.

Benefit receipt in t−1

0.4005***

0.0165

0.0827***

0.0087

0.0305***

0.0088

− 0.5136***

0.0188

Benefit receipt and employment in t−1

0.1144***

0.0095

0.3184***

0.0160

− 0.0233***

0.0065

− 0.4096***

0.0176

Inactivity in t−1

0.1140***

0.0104

0.0040

0.0068

0.2615***

0.0173

− 0.3796***

0.0180

Benefit receipt in t0

0.0881***

0.0078

0.0047

0.0068

0.0322***

0.0063

− 0.1250***

0.0103

Benefit receipt and employment in t0

0.0210**

0.0077

0.0481***

0.0078

− 0.0039

0.0060

− 0.0652***

0.0097

Inactivity in t0

0.0532***

0.0083

− 0.0104

0.0075

0.0654***

0.0065

− 0.1081***

0.0094

Population sample

− 0.0365***

0.0058

− 0.0426***

0.0052

0.0059

0.0043

0.0732***

0.0068

Age (in years)

0.0002

0.0002

0.0012***

0.0002

0.0000

0.0002

− 0.0014***

0.0003

Male

0.0161***

0.0038

− 0.0119***

0.0035

− 0.0360***

0.0031

0.0318***

0.0044

Intermediate education

− 0.0256***

0.0040

− 0.0069

0.0038

− 0.0090*

0.0037

0.0415***

0.0051

High education

− 0.0417***

0.0061

− 0.0225***

0.0055

− 0.0115*

0.0047

0.0757***

0.0069

Health restriction

0.0362***

0.0067

− 0.0194**

0.0061

0.0135*

0.0065

− 0.0303***

0.0085

Migration Background

0.0058

0.0044

0.0104*

0.0040

0.0080*

0.0039

− 0.0241***

0.0053

Partner in same HH

− 0.0489***

0.0122

− 0.0093

0.0113

0.0154

0.0112

0.0428**

0.0151

Child < 2 years old

0.0382**

0.0127

− 0.0013

0.0125

0.0758***

0.0140

− 0.1127***

0.0145

Child 2–3 years old

0.0074

0.0113

0.0209

0.0121

0.0052

0.0078

− 0.0334**

0.0115

Child 4–6 years old

− 0.0122

0.0097

0.0268*

0.0104

− 0.0050

0.0065

− 0.0096

0.0100

Child 7–16 years old

0.0032

0.0093

0.0204*

0.0092

− 0.0151*

0.0065

− 0.0084

0.0098

Regional unemployment rate

0.0033**

0.0012

0.0011

0.0013

0.0014

0.0012

− 0.0059***

0.0014

Eastern Germany

0.0494

0.0419

− 0.0271

0.0316

− 0.0154

0.0340

− 0.0068

0.0504

M: Health restriction

0.0373***

0.0079

0.0053

0.0077

0.0021

0.0074

− 0.0447***

0.0102

M: Partner in same HH

0.0014

0.0120

− 0.0064

0.0115

0.0117

0.0115

− 0.0067

0.0151

M: Child < 2 years old

0.0387*

0.0181

− 0.0188

0.0184

0.0050

0.0145

− 0.0249

0.0222

M: Child 2–3 years old

0.0062

0.0159

0.0020

0.0154

0.0019

0.0116

− 0.0101

0.0182

M: Child 4–6 years old

0.0178

0.0127

− 0.0247*

0.0122

0.0045

0.0096

0.0024

0.0143

M: Child 7–16 years old

− 0.0016

0.0101

0.0009

0.0097

0.0085

0.0077

− 0.0077

0.0111

M: Regional unemployment rate

0.0006

0.0013

0.0012

0.0013

− 0.0009

0.0012

− 0.0010

0.0015

M: Eastern Germany

− 0.0495

0.0408

0.0312

0.0337

0.0052

0.0367

0.0131

0.0516

Wave 4

0.0177**

0.0061

0.0179**

0.0059

− 0.0195***

0.0054

− 0.0161*

0.0072

Wave 5

0.0086

0.0059

0.0005

0.0054

− 0.0185***

0.0053

0.0093

0.0070

Wave 6

0.0122*

0.0060

0.0015

0.0055

− 0.0152**

0.0054

0.0016

0.0068

Wave 7

0.0123*

0.0058

0.0038

0.0053

− 0.0133*

0.0053

− 0.0027

0.0066

Wave 8

0.0142*

0.0059

0.0083

0.0056

− 0.0186***

0.0053

− 0.0039

0.0069

  1. N = 28,034; M = individual average of covariate, S.E.: Standard errors clustered at the individual level
  2. ***/**/* denote statistical significance at the 0.001, 0.01, 0.05 levels, respectively
  3. Source: PASS_0614_v1