Table 13 Average partial effects of all explanatory variables on the probability to be in a given state in t (PASS)

Benefit receipt in t−1

0.4228***

0.0184

0.0884***

0.0096

0.0240**

0.0093

− 0.5352***

0.0207

Benefit receipt and employment in t−1

0.1192***

0.0106

0.3484***

0.0181

− 0.0237***

0.0071

− 0.4439***

0.0194

Inactivity in t−1

0.1162***

0.0121

0.0022

0.0076

0.2752***

0.0204

− 0.3936***

0.0209

Benefit receipt in t0

0.0902***

0.0087

0.0027

0.0076

0.0306***

0.0067

− 0.1234***

0.0110

Benefit receipt and employment in t0

0.0214*

0.0086

0.0501***

0.0087

0.0006

0.0066

− 0.0721***

0.0105

Inactivity in t0

0.0556***

0.0092

− 0.0101

0.0086

0.0631***

0.0070

− 0.1086***

0.0103

Population sample

− 0.0330***

0.0065

− 0.0368***

0.0060

0.0025

0.0048

0.0672***

0.0075

Age (in years)

0.0001

0.0003

0.0013***

0.0002

− 0.0002

0.0002

− 0.0012***

0.0003

Male

0.0174***

0.0043

− 0.0126**

0.0040

− 0.0307***

0.0034

0.0258***

0.0048

Intermediate education

− 0.0258***

0.0045

− 0.0092*

0.0043

− 0.0050

0.0040

0.0400***

0.0056

High education

− 0.0424***

0.0071

− 0.0197**

0.0064

− 0.0077

0.0052

0.0698***

0.0078

Health restriction

0.0358***

0.0076

− 0.0186**

0.0068

0.0115

0.0071

− 0.0287**

0.0094

Migration Background

0.0010

0.0050

0.0086

0.0046

0.0075

0.0043

− 0.0172**

0.0058

Partner in same HH

− 0.0538***

0.0140

− 0.0087

0.0131

0.0092

0.0128

0.0533**

0.0176

Child < 2 years old

0.0450**

0.0147

− 0.0035

0.0140

0.0725***

0.0148

− 0.1140***

0.0153

Child 2–3 years old

0.0063

0.0132

0.0295*

0.0142

0.0047

0.0083

− 0.0405**

0.0124

Child 4–6 years old

− 0.0157

0.0114

0.0362**

0.0120

− 0.0046

0.0069

− 0.0159

0.0108

Child 7–16 years old

0.0049

0.0107

0.0282**

0.0102

− 0.0152*

0.0071

− 0.0178

0.0104

Regional unemployment rate

0.0029

0.0017

0.0026

0.0016

0.0013

0.0015

− 0.0067***

0.0020

Eastern Germany

0.0302

0.0631

0.0111

0.0352

− 0.0515

0.0347

0.0102

0.0570

M: Health restriction

0.0335***

0.0090

0.0047

0.0087

0.0076

0.0083

− 0.0458***

0.0115

M: Partner in same HH

0.0066

0.0137

− 0.0094

0.0132

0.0176

0.0129

− 0.0148

0.0171

M: Child < 2 years old

0.0170

0.0216

− 0.0080

0.0214

0.0074

0.0160

− 0.0164

0.0247

M: Child 2–3 years old

0.0111

0.0189

− 0.0063

0.0179

0.0001

0.0133

− 0.0049

0.0205

M: Child 4–6 years old

0.0221

0.0149

− 0.0323*

0.0136

0.0030

0.0107

0.0072

0.0154

M: Child 7–16 years old

− 0.0075

0.0116

− 0.0058

0.0106

0.0063

0.0085

0.0070

0.0118

M: Regional unemployment rate

0.0010

0.0017

− 0.0001

0.0015

− 0.0008

0.0015

− 0.0001

0.0020

M: Eastern Germany

− 0.0321

0.0609

− 0.0114

0.0343

0.0471

0.0399

− 0.0036

0.0583

Wave 4

0.0176*

0.0071

0.0188**

0.0067

− 0.0187**

0.0062

− 0.0177*

0.0082

Wave 5

0.0092

0.0067

0.0013

0.0061

− 0.0175**

0.0060

0.0070

0.0079

Wave 6

0.0103

0.0070

0.0040

0.0065

− 0.0210***

0.0061

0.0067

0.0079

Wave 7

0.0155*

0.0067

0.0056

0.0061

− 0.0147*

0.0061

− 0.0064

0.0077

Wave 8

0.0165*

0.0068

0.0111

0.0063

− 0.0194**

0.0061

− 0.0082

0.0079