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Table 11 Multinomial logit regression results (administrative data)—coefficients

From: Welfare receipt misreporting in survey data and its consequences for state dependence estimates: new insights from linked administrative and survey data

 

Benefit receipt

Benefit receipt and employment

Inactivity

Coeff.

S.E.

Coeff.

S.E.

Coeff.

S.E.

Benefit receipt in t−1

5.3885***

0.1334

3.7550***

0.1206

1.9462***

0.1279

Benefit receipt and employment in t−1

3.3910***

0.1287

4.1235***

0.1173

0.1580

0.1933

Inactivity in t−1

2.7994***

0.1525

1.3004***

0.2003

3.1399***

0.1132

Benefit receipt in t0

1.8975***

0.1653

1.2272***

0.1496

1.2336***

0.1422

Benefit receipt and employment in t0

1.0210***

0.1635

1.3828***

0.1533

0.4508**

0.1627

Inactivity in t0

0.9596***

0.1716

0.3729*

0.1807

1.3818***

0.1203

Population sample

− 0.7084***

0.1091

− 0.8628***

0.1206

− 0.2343*

0.1011

Age (in years)

0.0138**

0.0047

0.0268***

0.0049

0.0067

0.0052

Male

0.0564

0.0766

− 0.1551*

0.0785

− 0.6392***

0.0805

Intermediate education

− 0.5762***

0.0805

− 0.3475***

0.0816

− 0.2148*

0.0869

High education

− 1.0006***

0.1275

− 0.7386***

0.1235

− 0.4383***

0.1147

Health restriction

0.6462***

0.1337

0.0817

0.1335

0.3410*

0.1444

Migration Background

0.1022

0.0897

0.2026*

0.0865

0.2484**

0.0926

Partner in same HH

− 1.3156***

0.2495

− 0.9690***

0.2602

− 0.0407

0.2841

Child < 2 years old

1.1945***

0.2248

0.4638

0.2622

1.4554***

0.1915

Child 2–3 years old

0.3353

0.1998

0.3674

0.2203

0.1995

0.1771

Child 4–6 years old

0.0623

0.1808

0.4023*

0.1891

− 0.1650

0.1650

Child 7–16 years old

0.2208

0.1881

0.4123*

0.1867

− 0.2075

0.1652

Regional unemployment rate

0.0794*

0.0312

0.0787*

0.0322

0.0783*

0.0331

Eastern Germany

0.5492

1.1227

1.0949

0.8585

− 0.7338

0.8773

M: Health restriction

0.5887***

0.1703

0.3056

0.1718

0.5467**

0.1825

M: Partner in same HH

0.4448

0.2651

0.2836

0.2747

0.2622

0.3009

M: Child < 2 years old

0.1596

0.4039

0.1642

0.4377

0.4151

0.3719

M: Child 2–3 years old

0.1421

0.3385

− 0.0007

0.3534

0.0857

0.3091

M: Child 4–6 years old

0.2076

0.2538

− 0.1685

0.2605

0.1422

0.2415

M: Child 7–16 years old

− 0.1352

0.2078

− 0.1082

0.2071

0.0338

0.1912

M: Regional unemployment rate

0.0205

0.0301

0.0009

0.0313

− 0.0367

0.0324

M: Eastern Germany

− 0.6178

1.1229

− 1.1527

0.8605

0.4738

0.8797

Wave 4

0.2708*

0.1306

0.3686**

0.1311

− 0.0677

0.1275

Wave 5

− 0.1063

0.1263

− 0.1123

0.1269

− 0.1505

0.1241

Wave 6

0.0782

0.1288

0.1214

0.1315

− 0.2549*

0.1292

Wave 7

0.1968

0.1230

0.1756

0.1258

− 0.0631

0.1230

Wave 8

0.1144

0.1263

0.0979

0.1302

− 0.1333

0.1254

RE1/RE2/RE3

1.0000

 

1.0000

 

1.0000

 

Constant

− 6.0222***

0.3056

− 5.7467***

0.3081

− 4.2602***

0.3011

Var(RE1)/Var(RE2)/Var(RE3)

0.7310***

0.2179

0.6618***

0.1799

0.7087***

0.1796

  1. Base category: employment. N = 21,999; M = individual average of covariate, S.E.: Standard errors clustered at the individual level. ***/**/* denote statistical significance at the 0.001, 0.01, 0.05 levels, respectively
  2. Source: PASS_0614_v1 & LHG V08,01,00 – 201504