Skip to main content

Table 1 Complementary log-log model to estimate the return probability. (Source: NEPS 1.0.0 2011, SIAB weakly anonymous version 7510 & Microcensus, own calculations)

From: The duration of family-related employment interruptions – the role of occupational characteristicsDie Bedeutung des Berufs für die Dauer von Erwerbsunterbrechungen nach der Geburt des ersten Kindes

Covariate

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

 

AME

AME

AME

AME

Proportion of women in pre-leave occupation

−0.011**

(0.003)

−0.012+

(0.007)

−0.005

(0.005)

−0.007

(0.008)

Part-time rate in pre-leave occupation

0.005

(0.027)

0.009

(0.028)

Average daily wage (FT) in pre-leave occupation (in hundred thousand)

0.006*

(0.003)

0.006*

(0.003)

Time interval

0–1 month

−0.053***

(0.005)

−0.053***

(0.005)

−0.062***

(0.007)

−0.062***

(0.007)

2–6 months

−0.091***

(0.006)

−0.091***

(0.006)

−0.100***

(0.008)

−0.100***

(0.008)

7–12 months

−0.076***

(0.005)

−0.076***

(0.005)

−0.085***

(0.007)

−0.085***

(0.007)

13–24 months

−0.081***

(0.006)

−0.081***

(0.006)

−0.090***

(0.007)

−0.090***

(0.007)

25–36 months

−0.063***

(0.005)

−0.062***

(0.005)

−0.071***

(0.007)

−0.071***

(0.007)

More than 36 months

−0.076***

(0.007)

−0.075***

(0.007)

−0.084***

(0.008)

−0.084***

(0.008)

Control variables

Employment experience in years

−0.001+

(0.001)

−0.001+

(0.001)

−0.001*

(0.001)

−0.001*

(0.001)

Employment experience in years, squared

0.000+

(0.000)

0.000+

(0.000)

0.000+

(0.000)

0.000+

(0.000)

Education (reference with vocational training)

Without vocational training

0.001

(0.003)

0.001

(0.003)

0.001

(0.003)

0.001

(0.003)

University/university of applied sciences degree

0.009***

(0.003)

0.009***

(0.003)

0.007*

(0.003)

0.007*

(0.003)

Migration background

0.001

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

0.001

(0.002)

Married

−0.009***

(0.002)

−0.009***

(0.002)

−0.010***

(0.002)

−0.010***

(0.002)

Pregnant with second child

−0.003

(0.003)

−0.003

(0.003)

−0.003

(0.003)

−0.003

(0.003)

Management position in pre-leave job

0.000

(0.002)

0.000

(0.002)

0.000

(0.002)

0.000

(0.002)

Pre-leave job in public service

0.004*

(0.002)

0.004*

(0.002)

0.003+

(0.002)

0.003

(0.002)

Part-time work (< 20 h a week) in pre-leave job

0.003

(0.004)

0.003

(0.004)

0.004

(0.004)

0.003

(0.004)

Parental benefit regulation: Born from 2007 onwards

−0.013**

(0.005)

−0.013**

(0.005)

−0.013**

(0.005)

−0.013**

(0.005)

Childcare rate (in %)

0.002***

(0.000)

0.002***

(0.000)

0.002***

(0.000)

0.001***

(0.000)

N observations

26,186

26,186

26,186

26,186

N persons

1073

1073

1073

1073

N events

560

560

560

560

AIC

5193.3

5195.3

5191.8

5193.6

BIC

5348.6

5358.8

5355.2

5365.3

  1. Average marginal effects, robust standard errors in parentheses
  2. + p < 0.1, * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
  3. Based on the variables in model 4, we also estimated a non-proportional hazard model with a complementary log-log function. The coefficients of the explanatory variables are not different from the illustrated model 4 in terms of effect direction and significance