Table 4 Career patterns (job mobility) for West German men only (1945–2008)
Upward mobility | Lateral mobility | Downward mobility | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Individual characteristics | |||||||||
Education | 0.027 | 0.088 | 0.085 | 0.001 | 0.011 | 0.006 | −0.021 | −0.031 | −0.044 |
(0.004)**** | (0.005)**** | (0.005)**** | (0.003) | (0.004)*** | (0.004) | (0.005)**** | (0.006)**** | (0.007)**** | |
Age effect | |||||||||
Labour force experience | −0.009 | −0.009 | −0.010 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.007 | −0.007 | −0.008 |
(0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | (0.000)**** | |
Cohort effect | |||||||||
Prestige of first job | −0.027 | −0.027 | −0.003 | −0.004 | 0.003 | 0.003 | |||
(0.001)**** | (0.001)**** | (0.001)**** | (0.001)**** | (0.001)*** | (0.001)*** | ||||
Period effects | |||||||||
Modernisation level | 0.068 | 0.111 | 0.152 | ||||||
(0.028)** | (0.019)**** | (0.030)**** | |||||||
Labour market condition | 0.040 | 0.042 | −0.100 | ||||||
(0.022)* | (0.015)*** | (0.025)**** | |||||||
Intercept | −5.064 | −4.041 | −3.987 | −4.181 | −4.051 | −3.973 | −5.011 | −5.129 | −5.056 |
(0.042)**** | (0.063)**** | (0.065)**** | (0.029)**** | (0.039)**** | (0.041)**** | (0.047)**** | (0.061)**** | (0.064)**** | |
Log likelihood L0 | −10,005.649 | −10,005.649 | −10,005.649 | −16,661.661 | −16,661.661 | −16,661.661 | −8547.017 | −8547.017 | −8547.017 |
Log likelihood L1 | −9440.308 | −9142.912 | −9137.340 | −15,685.645 | −15,672.606 | −15,649.352 | −8200.662 | −8196.344 | −8177.770 |
LR chi2 (d.f.) | 1130.68 (2) | 1725.47 (3) | 1736.62 (5) | 1952.03 (2) | 1978.11 (3) | 2024.62 (5) | 692.71 (2) | 701.35 (3) | 738.49 (5) |
Number of sub-episodes | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 | 71,448 |
Number of events | 2680 | 2680 | 2680 | 5652 | 5652 | 5652 | 2218 | 2218 | 2218 |