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Table 5 Retirement probabilities 2000–2014, average marginal effects

From: The labor market for older workers in GermanyDer Arbeitsmarkt für ältere Arbeitnehmer in Deutschland

 

Men

Women

West Germany

East Germany

West Germany

East Germany

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

Year2007–8

  0.8

3.5

  1.0

6.4

  5.8

3.9

 −5.6

5.6

Year2013–14

 −3.7

3.1

 −1.3

5.9

  2.8

4.3

 −9.7

4.7

Age60–65

 29.4

2.2

 34.3

4.3

 31.8

2.9

 39.4

3.2

Aged60–65 × year2007–8

 −8.1

4.0

 −5.0

7.2

 −9.3

4.3

 −3.7

6.4

Aged60–65 × year2013–14

−10.0

3.5

−16.8

6.6

−11.4

4.5

−13.6

5.3

  1. Notes: AME – marginal effect on probability (in percent) from pooled logit estimates for the years 2000/01, 2007/08, and 2013/14 on the subsample of people aged older than 54 years; standard errors (se) are clustered to account for the panel structure of the SOEP estimation sample. The probability models are estimated separately by gender and region and include dummies for health status, nationality, marital status, children, and other household income and its square as additional control variables
  2. Source: Own calculations based on SOEP data 2000–2014