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Table 4 Long-term unemployment, average marginal effects

From: The labor market for older workers in GermanyDer Arbeitsmarkt für ältere Arbeitnehmer in Deutschland

 

Men

Women

West Germany

East Germany

West Germany

East Germany

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

Year2007–8

 5.4

0.5

 9.4

1.2

 5.9

0.5

10.2

1.3

Year2013–14

 4.6

0.7

10.7

1.7

 3.9

0.5

11.0

1.7

Age55–59

 1.8

1.4

 3.1

2.2

−0.4

1.2

 5.5

2.6

Age55–59 × year2007–8

−2.5

2.0

−1.2

4.1

−0.3

1.7

−3.6

5.2

Age55–59 × year2013–14

−2.0

2.0

 0.0

4.1

 0.9

1.7

 2.7

4.7

Age60–65

 2.2

1.0

 3.8

1.9

−2.5

1.2

−2.3

2.3

Aged60–65 × year2007–8

−1.3

1.7

−2.0

3.0

−0.2

1.6

 6.8

3.7

Aged60–65 × year2013–14

−0.4

1.9

 7.9

5.0

 4.6

1.8

 3.7

4.6

  1. Notes: Long-term unemployment is measured as cumulated duration of unemployment since the age of 15 years. AME refer to the expectation of this variable in month (including zero durations) and are derived from tobit models that account for the large share of people with zero durations in the sample; standard errors (se) are clustered to account for the panel structure of data The tobit models are estimated separately by gender and region on pooled data for the years 2000/01, 2007/08, and 2013/14 and include dummy variables for an individual’s education/vocational qualification, health status, nationality, marital status, children (younger than 7 and 14 years, respectively), and other household income and its square
  2. Source: Own calculations based on SOEP data 2000–2014