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Table 2 Employment probabilities 2000–2014, average marginal effects

From: The labor market for older workers in GermanyDer Arbeitsmarkt für ältere Arbeitnehmer in Deutschland

 

Men

Women

West Germany

East Germany

West Germany

East Germany

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

AME

se

Full‐time Employment

Year2007–8

 −3.14

0.88

 −1.92

1.56

 −1.34

0.71

 −1.97

1.30

Year2013–14

 −8.46

0.92

 −3.08

1.65

 −2.39

0.75

 −1.16

1.44

Age55–59

 16.28

1.96

  9.27

3.11

  2.54

1.76

  6.72

2.78

Age55–59 × year2007–8

  4.75

3.27

  6.09

5.11

  2.47

2.59

  0.92

4.48

Age55–59 × year2013–14

 16.22

3.03

 13.58

5.04

  4.84

2.43

  9.97

4.17

Age60–65

−17.78

1.93

−21.64

3.45

−23.41

2.56

−33.56

4.09

Aged60–65× year2007–8

 10.51

3.04

  7.46

5.46

 10.54

3.50

 12.30

5.84

Aged60–65× year2013–14

 25.83

2.78

 29.25

4.96

 18.40

3.17

 29.01

5.38

Part‐time Employment

Year2007–8

 −0.89

0.59

 −0.53

1.02

  3.02

0.75

  2.57

1.26

Year2013–14

  0.11

0.54

  2.02

1.11

  3.76

0.74

  5.63

1.27

Age55–59

  0.61

1.24

  3.40

2.28

  8.38

1.79

  6.05

2.87

Age55–59 × year2007–8

  2.41

2.03

  1.16

3.39

  0.97

2.62

  1.51

4.12

Age55–59 × year2013–14

 −0.74

1.84

 −1.56

3.27

  7.74

2.55

  0.47

3.76

Age60–65

 −2.04

1.25

  1.62

2.18

 −7.54

1.97

−10.00

3.27

Aged60–65 × year2007–8

  4.08

1.85

 −0.20

3.57

  5.25

2.95

 10.60

4.64

Aged60–65 × year2013–14

  6.13

1.74

  0.39

2.81

 13.95

2.70

 16.09

4.16

  1. Notes: AME – marginal effect on probability (in percent) from pooled logit estimates for the years 2000/01, 2007/08, and 2013/14; standard errors (se) are clustered to account for the panel structure of the SOEP estimation sample. The probability models are estimated separately by gender and region and include dummies for an individual’s education/vocational qualifications, health status, nationality, marital status, children (younger than 7 and 14 years, respectively), other household income and its square as additional control variables
  2. Source: Own calculations based on SOEP data 2000–2014