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Table 4 Labour demand and supply in 1000 persons by 20 MOF in 2030 in baseline model and different wage scenarios

From: Modelling reallocation processes in long-term labour market projectionsModellierung von Anpassungsprozessen in langfristigen Arbeitsmarktprojektionen

Main Occupational Field (MOF)

Baseline

‘10%-increase’

‘20%-increase’

Supply

Demand

Diff

Supply

Demand

Diff

Supply

Demand

Diff

1

Raw material processing occupations

907.6

898.6

8.9

906

895.6

10.4

904.5

892.6

11.9

2

Auxiliary workers, janitors

1088.3

1103.6

−15.3

1090

1097.8

−7.7

1091.6

1092.4

−0.8

3

Metal production and processing, installation, electrical occupations

1603.9

1576.5

27.3

1602.1

1564.7

37.4

1600.1

1553.4

46.7

4

Construction, woodworking, plastic manufacture and processing occupations

1442.2

1451.1

−8.9

1448.4

1433.8

14.6

1453.9

1417.6

36.3

5

Other processing, producing and maintaining occupations

848.4

831.9

16.4

843.5

826.5

17.1

839.2

821.3

17.9

6

Machinery and equipment steering and maintainance occupations

1772.2

1675.1

96.9

1767.5

1663.3

104.2

1763

1652

110.9

7

Commodity trade in retail

2056.5

2059.7

−3.2

2047.1

2029.9

17.2

2037.5

2001.9

35.6

8

Commodity trade merchandise

2154.4

2024.3

130.1

2152.2

2010.2

142

2150.2

1996.6

153.6

9

Transport, warehouse operatives, packers

3165.1

3194.6

−29.5

3170.2

3176.3

−6.2

3174.1

3159.3

14.8

10

Personal protection, guards and secutrity occupations

677.5

657.6

19.9

681.5

660.1

21.4

685.3

662.2

23

11

Hotel, restaurant occupation, housekeeping

2158.3

2176

−17.6

2111.9

2094.7

17.2

2071.4

2024.6

46.8

12

Cleaning, disposal occupations

2051.7

2052.8

−1.1

2045.6

2029.1

16.6

2038.9

2007

31.9

13

Office and commercial services occupations

6301.3

5545.5

755.8

6296.2

5538.6

757.6

6291.8

5531.5

760.3

14

IT and natural science

2369.6

2214

155.6

2361.4

2207.1

154.3

2353.4

2200.4

153

15

Technical occupations

1188.7

1249.2

−60.6

1202.6

1243.1

−40.4

1214.1

1237.2

−23.1

16

Legal, management and business science

2850.8

2679.1

171.7

2849.6

2667.8

181.8

2848.8

2657.1

191.7

17

Media, arts and social science

1747.9

1792.9

−44.9

1766.1

1789.2

−23.1

1782.7

1785.2

−2.5

18

Health occupations

3863.7

4016.6

−152.9

3899.6

4017

−117.4

3933.5

4016.4

−83

19

Social occupations

1739.5

1662

77.4

1740.3

1673

67.3

1741.9

1683.2

58.7

20

Teaching occupations

1790.6

1500.3

290.4

1796.3

1513.6

282.7

1802.2

1526

276.2

  1. Source: QuBe project 3rd wave; own calculations