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Table 9 Augmented migration model based on system GMM estimation

From: Testing the neoclassical migration model: overall and age-group specific results for German regionsTests zur Validität des neoklassischen Migrationsmodells: Allgemeine und altersgruppenspezifische Resultate für deutsche Raumordnungsregionen

\( { nm_{ij,t} } \)

To18

18to25

25to30

30to50

50to65

Over65

\( { nm_{ij,t-1} } \)

0.86

0.85

0.87

0.87

0.90

0.84

 

(0.002)

(0.006)

(0.006)

(0.003)

(0.002)

(0.003)

\( { \tilde{u}_{ij,t-1} } \)

−1.10

−0.72

−0.84

−0.72

−0.02

−0.27

 

(0.117)

(0.239)

(0.256)

(0.061)

(0.032)

(0.035)

\( { \tilde{y}_{ij,t-1} } \)

−0.23

3.13

5.28

1.55

−1.12

−0.53

 

(0.175)

(0.633)

(0.369)

(0.157)

(0.097)

(0.090)

COMM

−0.10

−0.06

−0.04

−0.01

−0.02

−0.03

 

(0.010)

(0.014)

(0.015)

(0.005)

(0.002)

(0.003)

BW

−0.19

−0.28

−0.85

−0.39

0.14

−0.02

 

(0.136)

(0.229)

(0.179)

(0.068)

(0.046)

(0.037)

BAY

−0.59

−0.37

−0.98

−0.39

0.05

−0.11

 

(0.193)

(0.261)

(0.237)

(0.077)

(0.056)

(0.052)

BER

1.41

1.02

0.81

0.59

0.02

0.49

 

(0.481)

(1.182)

(1.157)

(0.279)

(0.136)

(0.186)

BRA

0.59

0.37

065

0.71

−0.18

0.04

 

(0.164)

(0.365)

(0.350)

(0.103)

(0.046)

(0.055)

BRE

1.95

2.76

−1.37

0.24

0.08

0.39

 

(0.782)

(2.015)

(0.934)

(0.458)

(0.211)

(0.435)

HH

1.00

1.07

−1.23

−0.41

0.35

0.09

 

(1.173)

(1.183)

(0.629)

(0.424)

(0.368)

(0.611)

HES

−0.18

−0.33

−0.86

−0.39

0.13

0.01

 

(0.209)

(0.248)

(0.198)

(0.072)

(0.058)

(0.057)

MV

0.26

0.41

0.76

0.63

−0.16

−0.02

 

(0.133)

(0.288)

(0.312)

(0.084)

(0.048)

(0.059)

NIE

−0.26

−0.17

−0.52

−0.06

0.05

−0.08

 

(0.139)

(0.264)

(0.198)

(0.083)

(0.047)

(0.033)

NRW

0.06

0.09

−0.12

−0.05

0.03

0.01

 

(0.076)

(0.183)

(0.157)

(0.056)

(0.032)

(0.028)

RHP

−1.31

−0.71

−0.91

−0.32

−0.09

−0.38

 

(0.226)

(0.247)

(0.286)

(0.089)

(0.051)

(0.066)

SAAR

−0.11

0.17

0.86

−0.33

0.26

0.06

 

(0.736)

(1.279)

(1.361)

(0.488)

(0.249)

(0.227)

SACH

0.57

0.96

1.21

0.75

−0.34

−0.08

 

(0.188)

(0.405)

(0.403)

(0.115)

(0.061)

(0.066)

ST

−0.23

0.13

0.54

0.56

−0.31

−0.23

 

(0.176)

(0.321)

(0.352)

(0.088)

(0.048)

(0.055)

SH

0.11

−0.22

−0.56

−0.02

0.09

0.06

 

(0.165)

(0.266)

(0.211)

(0.089)

(0.046)

(0.043)

TH

−0.45

0.46

0.77

0.53

−0.34

−0.18

 

(0.256)

(0.306)

(0.360)

(0.102)

(0.067)

(0.102)

No. of obs.

873

873

873

873

873

873

Time dummies (11)

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Settlement type (6)

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

  1. Note:, , \( { = } \) denote significance levels at the 1, 5 and 10% level, respectively. BW \( { = } \) Baden-Württemberg, BAY \( { = } \) Bavaria, BER \( { = } \) Berlin, BRA \( { = } \) Brandenburg, BRE \( { = } \) Bremen, HH \( { = } \) Hamburg, HES \( { = } \) Hessen, MV \( { = } \) Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, NIE \( { = } \) Lower Saxony, NRW \( { = } \) North Rhine-Westphalia, RHP \( { = } \) Rhineland-Palatine, SAAR \( { = } \) Saarland, SACH \( { = } \) Saxony, ST \( { = } \) Saxony-Anhalt, SH \( { = } \) Schleswig-Holstein, TH \( { = } \) Thuringia.