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Table 8 Baseline migration model based on system GMM estimation

From: Testing the neoclassical migration model: overall and age-group specific results for German regionsTests zur Validität des neoklassischen Migrationsmodells: Allgemeine und altersgruppenspezifische Resultate für deutsche Raumordnungsregionen

\( { nm_{ij,t} } \)

To18

18to25

25to30

30to50

50to65

Over65

\( { nm_{ij,t-1} } \)

0.87

0.86

0.86

0.87

0.90

0.88

 

(0.001)

(0.005)

(0.004)

(0.002)

(0.001)

(0.002)

\( { \tilde{u}_{ij,t-1} } \)

−0.78

−0.91

−0.78

−0.42

0.19

−0.03

 

(0.044)

(0.156)

(0.148)

(0.036)

(0.019)

(0.018)

\( { \tilde{y}_{ij,t-1} } \)

0.28

3.73

4.03

0.25

−0.83

−0.59

 

(0.112)

(0.406)

(0.395)

(0.102)

(0.042)

(0.043)

BW

−0.31

−0.35

−0.37

−0.17

0.11

0.01

 

(0.035)

(0.093)

(0.093)

(0.018)

(0.016)

(0.011)

BAY

−0.28

−0.21

−0.20

−0.15

0.07

−0.01

 

(0.031)

(0.075)

(0.077)

(0.018)

(0.016)

(0.009)

BER

0.42

1.67

1.32

0.12

−0.17

−0.02

 

(0.144)

(0.721)

(0.937)

(0.187)

(0.054)

(0.068)

BRA

0.59

0.89

1.12

0.36

−0.24

−0.06

 

(0.044)

(0.171)

(0.156)

(0.052)

(0.019)

(0.018)

BRE

−0.06

1.95

−0.38

−0.03

0.04

−0.10

 

(0.256)

(0.610)

(0.470)

(0.161)

(0.107)

(0.133)

HH

−0.11

−0.12

−1.22

−0.12

0.07

0.09

 

(0.410)

(0.712)

(1.133)

(0.018)

(0.125)

(0.160)

HES

−0.18

−0.22

−0.27

−0.12

0.09

0.03

 

(0.045))

(0.133)

(0.110)

(0.018)

(0.031)

(0.027)

MV

0.48

1.11

1.19

0.26

−0.31

−0.12

 

(0.047)

(0.171)

(0.164)

(0.051)

(0.022)

(0.021)

NIE

−0.01

0.14

0.15

−0.02

−0.05

−0.04

 

(0.020)

(0.065)

(0.057)

(0.017)

(0.011)

(0.007)

NRW

−0.01

0.08

0.13

−0.02

−0.01

−0.01

 

(0.035)

(0.065)

(0.071)

(0.019)

(0.010)

(0.008)

RHP

−0.14

0.15

0.08

−0.08

0.02

−0.04

 

(0.035)

(0.102)

(0.089)

(0.017)

(0.026)

(0.014)

SAAR

0.46

0.49

2.20

0.07

0.11

0.03

 

(0.384)

(0.764)

(1.062)

(0.153)

(0.176)

(0.082)

SACH

0.47

1.33

1.49

0.24

−0.33

−0.15

 

(0.055)

(0.194)

(0.177)

(0.052)

(0.028)

(0.022)

ST

0.53

1.06

1.17

0.25

−0.35

−0.15

 

(0.088)

(0.177)

(0.178)

(0.051)

(0.020)

(0.021)

SH

0.10

0.18

0.19

0.07

0.07

0.03

 

(0.030)

(0.094)

(0.056)

(0.013)

(0.013)

(0.007)

TH

0.39

1.42

1.31

0.21

−0.34

−0.18

 

(0.058)

(0.212)

(0.173)

(0.048)

(0.019)

(0.018)

No. of obs.

1067

1067

1067

1067

1067

1067

Time dummies (11)

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

  1. Note:, , \( { = } \) denote significance levels at the 1, 5 and 10% level, respectively. BW \( { = } \) Baden-Württemberg, BAY \( { = } \) Bavaria, BER \( { = } \) Berlin, BRA \( { = } \) Brandenburg, BRE \( { = } \) Bremen, HH \( { = } \) Hamburg, HES \( { = } \) Hessen, MV \( { = } \) Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, NIE \( { = } \) Lower Saxony, NRW \( { = } \) North Rhine-Westphalia, RHP \( { = } \) Rhineland-Palatine, SAAR \( { = } \) Saarland, SACH \( { = } \) Saxony, ST \( { = } \) Saxony-Anhalt, SH \( { = } \) Schleswig-Holstein, TH \( { = } \) Thuringia.