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Table 3 Effects of lower caseloads on labour market outcomes

From: The impact of lower caseloads in public employment services on the unemployed

 

Treated

Controls

Mean difference (SE)

OLS estimates (SE)

All exits within 1 yeara

60.5

53.0

7.5*** (1.0)

7.7*** (0.9)

Employment within 1 year

34.7

31.1

3.7*** (1.0)

4.8*** (0.9)

Unsubsidised employment within 1 year

25.8

23.9

1.8** (0.9)

2.9*** (0.8)

Subs. empl. 1st labour market within 1 year

2.7

2.1

0.6* (0.3)

0.5* (0.3)

Subs. empl. 2nd labour market within 1 year

3.4

2.1

1.3*** (0.3)

1.3*** (0.3)

OLF within 1 year

25.8

22.0

3.8*** (0.9)

3.0*** (0.8)

Unemployment durationb

394

453

 − 60*** (8)

 − 62*** (7)

Days employment over 2 years

194

184

10** (5)

16*** (4)

Days unsubs. empl. over 2 years

155

148

7 (5)

13*** (4)

Days unemployment over 2 years

386

420

 − 34*** (5)

 − 36*** (4)

Days OLF over 2 years

162

137

24*** (4)

20*** (4)

Employment after 2 yearsa

34.4

33.7

0.7 (1.0)

1.7** (0.9)

Unsubdisized employment after 2 years

27.8

26.8

1.0 (0.9)

2.0** (0.8)

Unemployment after 2 years

41.9

45.3

 − 3.4*** (1.0)

 − 3.7*** (0.9)

OLF after 2 years

23.7

20.9

2.7*** (0.8)

2.0** (0.8)

Benefit daysb

406

453

 − 46*** (7)

 − 35*** (5)

Total benefitsc

10,362

11,390

 − 1028*** (205)

 − 755*** (152)

Starting wagec

1694

1691

3 (27)

16 (21)

  1. Effects for both existing and new clients. Data are from AUR, ASSD. Observations: 12,424, of which 3397 treated and 9027 controls. (a) %-points; (b) days; (c) Euros; starting wage w/o extra payments (excluding marginal jobs). Censoring date: 31.1.2018. Robust standard errors in parentheses
  2. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1