Table 2 Studies on employment effects of the minimum wage in Germany
From: The effects of the new statutory minimum wage in Germany: a first assessment of the evidence
Author | Method | Indicator | Effect | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jobs subject to social security contributions | Marginal part-time jobs | Total employment | |||
Ahlfeldt et al. (2018) | Regional variation; 401 counties | Level | – | – | Significant positive effect of around 0.06 percent |
Bonin et al. (2018) | Regional variation; 257 labour market regions | Level | No significant effect | Significant negative effect between 1.5 to 3.0 percent | Significant negative effect between 0.5 and 0.8 percent |
Bonin et al. (2018) | Regional variation, company level | Level | No significant effect | Significant negative effect around 0.9 percent | Significant negative effect around 0.7 percent |
Bossler et al. (2018); Bossler und Gerner (forthcoming) | Affected vs. non-affected companies | Level | – | – | Significant negative effect of around 1.7 percent in the affected companies (around 46 to 59 thousand jobs) |
Caliendo et al. (2018) | Regional variation, 141 labour market regions | Level | Ambiguous results, though mostly negative around 0.2 to 0.3 percent (corresponding to around 52 thousand jobs) | Significant negative effect of around 3 percent (corresponding to around 189 thousand jobs) | Significant negative effect of around 0.4 to 0.5 percent (corresponding to around 140 thousand Jobs) |
Garloff (2017) | Regional variation, 141 labour market regions, age, gender | Rate of change | Significant positive effect of around 0.4 percentage points higher growth rate | Significant negative effect of around 1.1 percentage points lower growth rate | Ambiguous results, though mostly negative around 0.01 to 0.1 percentage points lower growth rate |
Holtemöller and Pohle (2017) | State-industry variation, approx. 300 combinations | Level | Significant positive effect (no specific figures provided) | Significant negative effect (no specific figures provided) | – |
Schmitz (2017) | Regional variation, 402 counties | Rate of change | Significant negative effect of around 0.1 percentage points lower growth rate | Significant negative effect of around 1.0 to 1.4 percentage points lower growth rate | – |
Stechert (2018) | Regional variation, 402 counties, age, gender | Rate of change | Significant positive effect of around 0.2 percentage points higher growth rate (negative for 15 to 24 year old) | Significant negative effect of around 0.3 percentage points lower growth rate (Ambiguous results for 15 to 24 year old) | Significant positive effect of around 0.08 percentage points higher growth rate (negative for 15 to 24 year old) |