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Table 3 Labour demand and supply in 1000 persons by 20 MOF in 2030 in the baseline and ‘no wage response’ scenario

From: Modelling reallocation processes in long-term labour market projectionsModellierung von Anpassungsprozessen in langfristigen Arbeitsmarktprojektionen

Main Occupational Field (MOF)

Baseline

‘No wage response’

Supply

Demand

Diff

Supply

Demand

Diff

1

Raw material processing occupations

907.6

898.6

8.9

929.8

899

30.8

2

Auxiliary workers, janitors

1088.3

1103.6

−15.3

1073

1103.4

−30.5

3

Metal production and processing, installation, electrical occupations

1603.9

1576.5

27.3

1601.7

1575.9

25.8

4

Construction, woodworking, plastic manufacture and processing occupations

1442.2

1451.1

−8.9

1466.8

1450.6

16.2

5

Other processing, producing and maintaining occupations

848.4

831.9

16.4

858.2

831.7

26.4

6

Machinery and equipment steering and maintainance occupations

1772.2

1675.1

96.9

1890

1674.8

215

7

Commodity trade in retail

2056.5

2059.7

−3.2

1968.5

2058.1

−89.5

8

Commodity trade merchandise

2154.4

2024.3

130.1

2213.5

2023.8

189.7

9

Transport, warehouse operatives, packers

3165.1

3194.6

−29.5

3038.8

3194.2

−155.2

10

Personal protection, guards and security occupations

677.5

657.6

19.9

681.3

657.6

23.7

11

Hotel, restaurant occupation, housekeeping

2158.3

2176

−17.6

2079.3

2170.5

−91.1

12

Cleaning, disposal occupations

2051.7

2052.8

−1.1

2004.4

2052.6

−48.3

13

Office and commercial services occupations

6301.3

5545.5

755.8

6479.6

5548.7

931

14

IT and natural science

2369.6

2214

155.6

2390.5

2213.7

176.7

15

Technical occupations

1188.7

1249.2

−60.6

1152.6

1248.9

−96.4

16

Legal, management and business science

2850.8

2679.1

171.7

2811.6

2678.9

132.6

17

Media, arts and social science

1747.9

1792.9

−44.9

1740

1792.2

−52.1

18

Health occupations

3863.7

4016.6

−152.9

3847.9

4027.3

−179.5

19

Social occupations

1739.5

1662

77.4

1737

1662.6

74.4

20

Teaching occupations

1790.6

1500.3

290.4

1813.8

1501.6

312.2

  1. Source: QuBe project 3rd wave; own calculations